|
The key to everything is
patience.
You get the chicken
By hatching the egg
- not by smashing it.
Arnold Glasgow |
We have always taken a
patient longer term approach to investing. Our prime
objective has been “consistent investment performance” and,
as such, we preferred to be the plodding, disciplined
tortoise rather than the frenetic hare. Just as Rome was not
built in a day, we have always considered the road to
investment success to be one of painstaking fundamental
analysis combined with the patience of Job.
Invariably, this
investment plan of action is easier said than done. This is
due to the fact that we are constantly bombarded by
economic, financial and political storms which may
temporarily set us off course. The challenge is to be alert,
flexible and persevering to recalibrate our positions toward
our goal of investment excellence. Notwithstanding this
track we cannot simply operate in a market vacuum; we must
also be sensitive to client concerns. Unfortunately, there
may be times when our investment approach may be zigging
versus a hyped market which may be zagging. This occurred in
1999-2000 when high technology and Nortel were the flavour
of the day. At that time we remained true to our deep-value
philosophy regardless of what might have been “in style.”
This, unfortunately, was not an easy task as we came under
incessant criticism for a period of over 18 difficult
months.
Going forward, we must be
patient and cling to our investment principles despite the
fact that we might temporarily be out of sync with the
market benchmark. The fact is that we do not follow the
crowd nor any standard index. We believe that this course is
consistent with our stated objective of uncovering
dirt-cheap value stocks and out of favour securities. As a
result, we are often early with the security purchase and
must patiently await a price catalyst. Recent successful
examples of this strategy include EuroZinc Mining Corp,
Hudbay Minerals, Saxon Energy Services, Goody’s Family
Clothing, Cobra Electronics Corp. and Foodarama
Supermarkets. In all of these cases we thoroughly analyzed
the companies, affixed a 12-18 month price target and
patiently purchased these out of favour securities at deeply
discounted valuations. Although we recognized that price
appreciation might be slow in coming we were comfortable
with our analysis and were prepared to sit with these
investments until our price objectives were attained.
As we look ahead at the
markets over the next 12 months we are quite optimistic. We
believe it will be a stock picker’s market with plenty of
mergers, acquisitions, takeovers and privatizations. We have
targeted our four ABC Funds’ portfolios to a fully invested
position. We intend to remain true to our investment style
and disciplines; this will not change. We are confident that
over the long term our time-proven deep-value style will
continue to provide superior investment performance. In
effect, we are quite content to hatch the egg rather than
smashing it.
Irwin A. Michael, CFA