Monday, February 20, 2006
Page: B1 Section: Your Business
By: Don Macdonald
Value investor sees bargains in U.S.
Law enacted in fallout from Enron and WorldCom
scandals offers opportunities
Money manager Irwin Michael believes the U.S. stock market is the best place
in the world to find buying opportunities right now.
The Gazette Money manager Irwin Michael believes the U.S. stock market is
the best place in the world to find buying opportunities right now. That's
hardly a popular view. Many observers are fretting that the U.S. market is
vulnerable to everything from rising interest rates to an inflating trade
deficit to a deflating housing bubble.
But Michael, a Montreal native who
runs Toronto's ABC Funds, is used to going against the grain.
He is, after
all, an accomplished deep value investor and that means he makes money
by taking contrarian stands.
Irwin says he's seeing five attractively priced
stocks in the U.S. for every one in Canada.
One big reason for the cheap
prices is the pernicious effect of a law enacted to protect investors from
the kind of fraud that sank Enron and WorldCom.
The Sarbanes-Oxley law
imposes onerous financial reporting requirements on public companies -
so onerous that the profits of many smaller companies are suffering.
They'd
rather go private or sell out to another company than continue putting up
with the costs and headaches of compliance, says Michael, who was in
Montreal this week to pitch investors on a new value fund he's bringing out
in April.
"We've had eight takeovers since June," Michael said of his U.S.
picks.
"Our challenge is to find the companies that are dirt cheap and tuck
them in our funds. Then hopefully in due course they are either bought out
or taken out."
Michael's new fund is called, appropriately enough, the ABC
Dirt-Cheap Stock Fund.
Notwithstanding his current enthusiasm for the U.S. market, the fund will
be open to stocks from around the world.
It's the sister fund to ABC North
American Deep-Value Fund, which has returned 30.8 per cent since its
inception in November 2004.
Both are what's known as closed-end funds.
They
behave more like stocks than the more familiar open-ended mutual funds.
A number of units of a closed-ended fund are issued to the public, and
after that they are bought and sold among investors like a stock, without an
obligation for the fund company to issue new shares or redeem outstanding
shares.
Typically, closed-end funds trade on a stock exchange. But the ABC
offerings trade on the company's own "virtual exchange" at the net asset
value of the fund.
Irwin says the closed-end format allows him to take a
patient approach to managing value stocks because he doesn't have the "gun
to his head" of redemptions, which can force a manager of an open-ended fund
to liquidate stocks.
He downplays the potential for investors in his
closed-end funds
being caught in a liquidity squeeze in the event, for example, of a market
meltdown.
There are currently 80 investors waiting to purchase units in the
$170-million North American Deep Value Fund, he says.
The Dirt-Cheap fund will bring the ABC stable to five, including the
open-ended Fundamental Value Fund, a Canadian equity offering that has
produced an annual return of 19.3 per cent over the last 15 years.
All this
will be moot to most investors because ABC Funds are aimed at
well-heeled investors and require a minimum ante of $150,000 to get in.
Still, Michael's rigorous approach to investing should be of interest to
even those of the most modest means.
He resists comparisons to Benjamin
Graham, but his approach brings to mind the great pioneer of value
investing. It relies on financial analysis to unearth stocks that are
trading below their intrinsic worth.
A value investor such as Michael looks
for stocks trading at low price-to-earning ratios or at a discount to a
company's book value, among other yardsticks. They might also try to unearth
hidden assets that will create value when they're discovered by the market
as a whole.
Value investing has proved to be the most profitable approach to
stock-picking over the long run. But it's harder than it looks, given human
nature and the fact it involves, by definition, buying what others are
shunning.
Consider, for example, one of Michael's recent big scores - Laurentian Bank of Canada.
He was buying when it was looking grim for the
bank - falling profits, a dividend in danger and stock price in the tank.
When things began to turn around last year under CEO Raymond McManus, the
stock shot up 50 per cent and Michael sold his position.
Besides a corporate site at
www.abcfunds.com , Michael maintains an interesting investing site at
www.valueinvestigator.com
with discussions of many of his picks.
It's as good a place as any to begin
to learn the abc's of value investing.
dmacdonald@thegazette.canwest.com |